评级 vs 实际回报归因 · 更新：2026-10-13 16:10 · 共 45 个有估值锚点的标的
| 标的 | 评级 | 分析日 | 持有天数 | 基准价 | 目标价(EV) | 现价 | 实际涨跌 | 目标涨跌 | 差距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 美光科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-09-17 | 26 | $977.68 | $614.00 | $989.04 | +1.2% | -37.2% | +38.4% |
| 华泰证券(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-28 | 46 | HK$17.41 | HK$23.60 | HK$16.26 | -6.6% | +35.6% | -42.2% |
| 沪电股份 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 47 | ¥121.21 | ¥121.00 | ¥116.01 | -4.3% | -0.2% | -4.1% |
| 英伟达 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-27 | 47 | $227.97 | $401.00 | $226.32 | -0.7% | +75.9% | -76.6% |
| 恒立液压 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-27 | 47 | ¥103.00 | ¥78.00 | ¥83.09 | -19.3% | -24.3% | +4.9% |
| 中国人寿(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 47 | HK$29.32 | HK$33.50 | HK$25.58 | -12.8% | +14.3% | -27.0% |
| 大族数控(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-27 | 47 | HK$109.50 | HK$105.00 | HK$77.95 | -28.8% | -4.1% | -24.7% |
| 嘉立创 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-27 | 47 | ¥162.03 | ¥67.00 | ¥169.56 | +4.6% | -58.6% | +63.3% |
| 台积电 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-27 | 47 | $424.32 | $541.00 | $444.35 | +4.7% | +27.5% | -22.8% |
| 鼎龙股份 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 48 | ¥72.19 | ¥58.00 | ¥62.46 | -13.5% | -19.7% | +6.2% |
| 路维光电 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 48 | ¥66.74 | ¥56.00 | ¥56.37 | -15.5% | -16.1% | +0.6% |
| 财捷 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-26 | 48 | $344.03 | $445.00 | $305.99 | -11.1% | +29.3% | -40.4% |
| 中国平安(H股) | 值得关注 | 2026-08-26 | 48 | HK$57.30 | HK$69.05 | HK$51.30 | -10.5% | +20.5% | -31.0% |
| 快手-W | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-26 | 48 | HK$33.62 | HK$51.00 | HK$29.12 | -13.4% | +51.7% | -65.1% |
| 博通 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-25 | 49 | $362.22 | $375.00 | $354.73 | -2.1% | +3.5% | -5.6% |
| 迈威尔科技 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-25 | 49 | USD244.34 | USD231.20 | USD265.86 | +8.8% | -5.4% | +14.2% |
| 拼多多 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-25 | 49 | $87.75 | $158.00 | $80.92 | -7.8% | +80.1% | -87.8% |
| 中际旭创 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-24 | 50 | ¥870.22 | ¥875.00 | ¥734.48 | -15.6% | +0.5% | -16.1% |
| 美的集团 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-21 | 53 | ¥84.30 | ¥75.00 | ¥82.75 | -1.8% | -11.0% | +9.2% |
| 腾讯控股 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 53 | HK$457.00 | HK$600.00 | HK$424.20 | -7.2% | +31.3% | -38.5% |
| 赛富时 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 53 | $209.47 | $244.00 | $233.92 | +11.7% | +16.5% | -4.8% |
| Indivior | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 53 | $36.87 | $46.00 | $36.06 | -2.2% | +24.8% | -27.0% |
| 国投资本 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 53 | ¥6.25 | ¥8.30 | ¥6.30 | +0.8% | +32.8% | -32.0% |
| 谷歌 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-21 | 53 | $344.82 | $410.00 | $352.72 | +2.3% | +18.9% | -16.6% |
| Arm Holdings | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-13 | 61 | $284.65 | $52.00 | $255.24 | -10.3% | -81.7% | +71.4% |
| Globe Life | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-13 | 61 | $180.60 | $166.00 | $165.12 | -8.6% | -8.1% | -0.5% |
| AppLovin | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-13 | 61 | $313.11 | $332.00 | $270.87 | -13.5% | +6.0% | -19.5% |
| 宁德时代 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-11 | 63 | ¥390.40 | ¥661.00 | ¥288.79 | -26.0% | +69.3% | -95.3% |
| 康龙化成 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-10 | 64 | ¥46.92 | ¥25.90 | ¥40.57 | -13.5% | -44.8% | +31.3% |
| 拓荆科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-07 | 67 | ¥690.65 | ¥483.00 | ¥656.74 | -4.9% | -30.1% | +25.2% |
| Palantir Technologies | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-06 | 68 | $155.92 | $107.00 | $209.00 | +34.0% | -31.4% | +65.4% |
| 中天科技 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-06 | 68 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.30 | ¥28.70 | -11.1% | +31.0% | -42.1% |
| 云南白药 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-05 | 69 | ¥51.70 | ¥71.50 | ¥51.96 | +0.5% | +38.3% | -37.8% |
| 胜宏科技 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-04 | 70 | ¥201.31 | ¥138.30 | ¥198.98 | -1.2% | -31.3% | +30.1% |
| 中信证券 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-04 | 70 | ¥28.05 | ¥30.50 | ¥25.95 | -7.5% | +8.7% | -16.2% |
| 华泰证券 | 值得关注 | 2026-08-04 | 70 | ¥19.62 | ¥21.90 | ¥17.90 | -8.8% | +11.6% | -20.4% |
| 海康威视 | 强烈关注 | 2026-08-04 | 70 | ¥38.63 | ¥62.00 | ¥33.58 | -13.1% | +60.5% | -73.6% |
| 拉姆研究 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-04 | 70 | $316.90 | $233.00 | $309.56 | -2.3% | -26.5% | +24.2% |
| 卡特彼勒 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 71 | $830.03 | $295.00 | $799.37 | -3.7% | -64.5% | +60.8% |
| 微软 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 71 | $489.59 | $433.70 | $541.15 | +10.5% | -11.4% | +21.9% |
| 三花智控 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 71 | ¥38.61 | ¥26.05 | ¥32.44 | -16.0% | -32.5% | +16.6% |
| 昊志机电 | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 71 | ¥64.29 | ¥44.50 | ¥66.50 | +3.4% | -30.8% | +34.2% |
| Affirm Holdings | 暂不介入 | 2026-08-03 | 71 | $75.42 | $40.80 | $76.46 | +1.4% | -45.9% | +47.3% |
| Datadog | 中性观察（等好价） | 2026-08-03 | 71 | $276.50 | $135.00 | $287.29 | +3.9% | -51.2% | +55.1% |
| 赤峰黄金 | 谨慎关注 | 2026-07-31 | 74 | ¥39.56 | ¥32.10 | ¥40.04 | +1.2% | -18.9% | +20.1% |